Thursday, October 18, 2012

Three Swing States Slightly Lean Towards Obama

The race for the presidency remains close in three swing states, though the four recently conducted polls show President Barack Obama with a slight lead in all polling.

Two polls for Nevada give the president a three-point advantage, but he's only one point ahead of former Governor Mitt Romney back east in New Hampshire and Wisconsin.

Here's a state-by-state look at the four newest polls.

Nevada

Rasmussen Reports and a Las Vegas Review-Journal/SurveyUSA poll agree in polling conducted before the debate. President Obama is ahead by three points. However, the one-day snapshot for Rasmussen suggests he win would 50 percent to 47 percent, while the LVRJ/SurveyUSA poll suggests a 48 percent to 45 percent result.

Rasmussen conducted their poll on Oct. 15, and with a plus or minus 4.5 percent margin of error, makes it clear that likely Nevada voters are within the margin of error for polling. However, Rasmussen also notes it is significant that this poll is the first time the president has polled at 50 percent with the firm since July.

Expanded poll results from the LVRJ/USASurvey suggests that Obama is favored 52 to 42 percent by female voters in Nevada, but that Romney is chosen by 49 percent of males as opposed to 44 percent for Obama. Obama has 54 percent of the 18 to 34 vote, the pair are nearly tied on 35 to 49 and 50 to 64, but for those over 65, Romney is winning 53 to 44 percent.

New Hampshire

Rasmussen Reports gives no clear picture for the election in New Hampshire, with 50 percent choosing Obama and 49 percent selecting Romney. With only 1 percent undecided, the state is a definite toss-up in the poll's view.

Wisconsin

Marquette University Law School conducted a poll between Oct. 11 and 14, and released it on Wednesday. Among the 96 percent of those polled who were registered to vote 49 percent chose to re-elect Obama. Forty-eight percent want a change and prefer Romney. Only 2 percent were undecided and 1 percent refused.

Shawn Humphrey is a former contributor to The Flint Journal and lives near Washington in Gaithersburg, Md.

Source: http://news.yahoo.com/three-swing-states-slightly-lean-towards-obama-160900314.html

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